Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 3:23 PM, 317 voters in 36 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 214,792 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 187,861 - 240,070). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 3:23 PM | 3250 |
c(2.5% = 2943)
|
c(97.5% = 3521)
|
| 02 | 3:23 PM | 4991 |
c(2.5% = 4502)
|
c(97.5% = 5495)
|
| 03 | 3:23 PM | 2804 |
c(2.5% = 2355)
|
c(97.5% = 3169)
|
| 04 | 3:23 PM | 2761 |
c(2.5% = 2328)
|
c(97.5% = 3194)
|
| 05 | 3:23 PM | 7299 |
c(2.5% = 6553)
|
c(97.5% = 8089)
|
| 06 | 3:23 PM | 1890 |
c(2.5% = 1635)
|
c(97.5% = 2114)
|
| 07 | 3:23 PM | 1699 |
c(2.5% = 1067)
|
c(97.5% = 2125)
|
| 08 | 3:23 PM | 6753 |
c(2.5% = 6070)
|
c(97.5% = 7449)
|
| 09 | 3:23 PM | 3206 |
c(2.5% = 2895)
|
c(97.5% = 3754)
|
| 10 | 3:23 PM | 4089 |
c(2.5% = 3459)
|
c(97.5% = 4695)
|
| 11 | 3:23 PM | 1756 |
c(2.5% = 1453)
|
c(97.5% = 2074)
|
| 12 | 3:23 PM | 3054 |
c(2.5% = 2603)
|
c(97.5% = 3486)
|
| 13 | 3:23 PM | 2743 |
c(2.5% = 2303)
|
c(97.5% = 3177)
|
| 14 | 3:23 PM | 1218 |
c(2.5% = 1073)
|
c(97.5% = 1343)
|
| 15 | 3:23 PM | 3485 |
c(2.5% = 3186)
|
c(97.5% = 3764)
|
| 16 | 3:23 PM | 1454 |
c(2.5% = 1195)
|
c(97.5% = 1724)
|
| 17 | 3:23 PM | 3384 |
c(2.5% = 2890)
|
c(97.5% = 3914)
|
| 18 | 3:23 PM | 3130 |
c(2.5% = 2707)
|
c(97.5% = 3547)
|
| 19 | 3:23 PM | 1381 |
c(2.5% = 1004)
|
c(97.5% = 1670)
|
| 20 | 3:23 PM | 1321 |
c(2.5% = 960)
|
c(97.5% = 1556)
|
| 21 | 3:23 PM | 7829 |
c(2.5% = 6820)
|
c(97.5% = 8694)
|
| 22 | 3:23 PM | 4424 |
c(2.5% = 3834)
|
c(97.5% = 4988)
|
| 23 | 3:23 PM | 2532 |
c(2.5% = 2040)
|
c(97.5% = 2834)
|
| 24 | 3:23 PM | 2121 |
c(2.5% = 1642)
|
c(97.5% = 2446)
|
| 25 | 3:23 PM | 2002 |
c(2.5% = 1495)
|
c(97.5% = 2373)
|
| 26 | 3:23 PM | 3017 |
c(2.5% = 2547)
|
c(97.5% = 3284)
|
| 27 | 3:23 PM | 3553 |
c(2.5% = 2483)
|
c(97.5% = 5186)
|
| 28 | 3:23 PM | 1552 |
c(2.5% = 1268)
|
c(97.5% = 1852)
|
| 29 | 3:23 PM | 1587 |
c(2.5% = 1392)
|
c(97.5% = 1791)
|
| 30 | 3:23 PM | 3131 |
c(2.5% = 2859)
|
c(97.5% = 3405)
|
| 31 | 3:23 PM | 2701 |
c(2.5% = 2275)
|
c(97.5% = 3043)
|
| 32 | 3:23 PM | 2566 |
c(2.5% = 2122)
|
c(97.5% = 2947)
|
| 33 | 3:23 PM | 2013 |
c(2.5% = 1289)
|
c(97.5% = 2519)
|
| 34 | 3:23 PM | 5805 |
c(2.5% = 5081)
|
c(97.5% = 6489)
|
| 35 | 3:23 PM | 3803 |
c(2.5% = 2980)
|
c(97.5% = 4299)
|
| 36 | 3:23 PM | 4830 |
c(2.5% = 4278)
|
c(97.5% = 5365)
|
| 37 | 3:23 PM | 1642 |
c(2.5% = 1346)
|
c(97.5% = 1923)
|
| 38 | 3:23 PM | 2885 |
c(2.5% = 2544)
|
c(97.5% = 3278)
|
| 39 | 3:23 PM | 5845 |
c(2.5% = 5056)
|
c(97.5% = 6491)
|
| 40 | 3:23 PM | 5949 |
c(2.5% = 4641)
|
c(97.5% = 6465)
|
| 41 | 3:23 PM | 2273 |
c(2.5% = 1721)
|
c(97.5% = 2643)
|
| 42 | 3:23 PM | 2890 |
c(2.5% = 2067)
|
c(97.5% = 3316)
|
| 43 | 3:23 PM | 2257 |
c(2.5% = 1669)
|
c(97.5% = 2622)
|
| 44 | 3:23 PM | 1856 |
c(2.5% = 1569)
|
c(97.5% = 2142)
|
| 45 | 3:23 PM | 2547 |
c(2.5% = 1961)
|
c(97.5% = 2960)
|
| 46 | 3:23 PM | 3515 |
c(2.5% = 3234)
|
c(97.5% = 3937)
|
| 47 | 3:23 PM | 1131 |
c(2.5% = 949)
|
c(97.5% = 1243)
|
| 48 | 3:23 PM | 2639 |
c(2.5% = 2104)
|
c(97.5% = 2893)
|
| 49 | 3:23 PM | 3381 |
c(2.5% = 2847)
|
c(97.5% = 3794)
|
| 50 | 3:23 PM | 4837 |
c(2.5% = 4161)
|
c(97.5% = 5516)
|
| 51 | 3:23 PM | 3021 |
c(2.5% = 2608)
|
c(97.5% = 3498)
|
| 52 | 3:23 PM | 3783 |
c(2.5% = 3256)
|
c(97.5% = 4374)
|
| 53 | 3:23 PM | 2549 |
c(2.5% = 1987)
|
c(97.5% = 2904)
|
| 54 | 3:23 PM | 1792 |
c(2.5% = 1253)
|
c(97.5% = 2176)
|
| 55 | 3:23 PM | 2927 |
c(2.5% = 2176)
|
c(97.5% = 3468)
|
| 56 | 3:23 PM | 4312 |
c(2.5% = 3353)
|
c(97.5% = 4990)
|
| 57 | 3:23 PM | 3784 |
c(2.5% = 2994)
|
c(97.5% = 4246)
|
| 58 | 3:23 PM | 6268 |
c(2.5% = 4970)
|
c(97.5% = 7149)
|
| 59 | 3:23 PM | 3284 |
c(2.5% = 2858)
|
c(97.5% = 3695)
|
| 60 | 3:23 PM | 2668 |
c(2.5% = 2293)
|
c(97.5% = 2998)
|
| 61 | 3:23 PM | 3943 |
c(2.5% = 3126)
|
c(97.5% = 4362)
|
| 62 | 3:23 PM | 2715 |
c(2.5% = 1997)
|
c(97.5% = 3169)
|
| 63 | 3:23 PM | 3627 |
c(2.5% = 3056)
|
c(97.5% = 4089)
|
| 64 | 3:23 PM | 2030 |
c(2.5% = 1564)
|
c(97.5% = 2357)
|
| 65 | 3:23 PM | 3016 |
c(2.5% = 2410)
|
c(97.5% = 3404)
|
| 66 | 3:23 PM | 6291 |
c(2.5% = 5195)
|
c(97.5% = 7016)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
| 11:50 AM | 3610 | 112 |
| 11:50 AM | 0217 | 112 |
| 12:00 PM | 3637 | 153 |
| 12:00 PM | 3638 | 118 |
| 9:40 AM | 0218 | 88 |
| 12:05 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 9:20 AM | 0803 | 123 |
| 9:22 AM | 0803 | 125 |
| 11:00 AM | 0209 | 104 |
| 7:22 AM | 0506 | 9 |
| 12:01 PM | 0101 | 96 |
| 12:01 PM | 0103 | 164 |
| 12:00 PM | 2125 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0107 | 69 |
| 12:01 PM | 0110 | 127 |
| 12:01 PM | 0114 | 128 |
| 12:01 PM | 0115 | 191 |
| 12:01 PM | 0117 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0119 | 166 |
| 12:15 PM | 1503 | 175 |
| 12:01 PM | 0121 | 160 |
| 10:00 AM | 2702 | 65 |
| 12:15 PM | 4903 | 216 |
| 7:01 AM | 1511 | 17 |
| 12:02 PM | 0526 | 182 |
| 12:29 PM | 3103 | 175 |
| 12:29 PM | 3113 | 151 |
| 10:47 AM | 1507 | 1 |
| 12:38 PM | 1716 | 80 |
| 11:00 AM | 6522 | 121 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 12:38 PM | 0528 | 208 |
| 11:00 AM | 0120 | 127 |
| 12:23 PM | 6008 | 80 |
| 7:40 AM | 6509 | 22 |
| 8:00 AM | 4618 | 32 |
| 12:50 PM | 0525 | 121 |
| 12:02 PM | 0831 | 123 |
| 12:30 PM | 3007 | 161 |
| 12:30 PM | 5217 | 120 |
| 12:55 PM | 4002 | 146 |
| 7:25 AM | 0532 | 35 |
| 12:40 PM | 0529 | 58 |
| 1:04 PM | 1902 | 128 |
| 1:05 PM | 1903 | 72 |
| 1:05 PM | 1904 | 81 |
| 1:02 PM | 2702 | 100 |
| 1:12 PM | 0834 | 113 |
| 8:20 AM | 0810 | 66 |
| 12:29 PM | 3113 | 151 |
| 1:00 PM | 3609 | 112 |
| 7:01 AM | 2122 | 20 |
| 1:20 PM | 1514 | 117 |
| 1:25 PM | 3006 | 141 |
| 1:30 PM | 3914 | 175 |
| 1:29 PM | 4320 | 120 |
| 1:30 PM | 0517 | 194 |
| 11:10 AM | 3105 | 1 |
| 1:30 PM | 2701 | 119 |
| 7:45 AM | 4616 | 34 |
| 9:15 AM | 4125 | 74 |
| 1:43 PM | 1717 | 115 |
| 1:43 PM | 0537 | 130 |
| 1:45 PM | 0817 | 166 |
| 8:30 AM | 2605 | 76 |
| 1:43 PM | 0501 | 133 |
| 1:45 PM | 0818 | 88 |
| 1:43 PM | 1717 | 115 |
| 10:40 AM | 1510 | 121 |
| 1:45 PM | 1810 | 188 |
| 1:48 PM | 3943 | 160 |
| 1:51 PM | 3637 | 170 |
| 1:52 PM | 3638 | 137 |
| 1:45 PM | 1817 | 238 |
| 2:00 PM | 3103 | 194 |
| 9:00 AM | 2719 | 1 |
| 2:05 PM | 4701 | 166 |
| 1:45 PM | 2911 | 109 |
| 8:00 AM | 0510 | 63 |
| 10:30 AM | 3942 | 90 |
| 8:00 AM | 4616 | 49 |
| 2:25 PM | 6414 | 114 |
| 2:27 PM | 0834 | 124 |
| 2:28 PM | 1810 | 216 |
| 2:28 PM | 1503 | 202 |
| 2:30 PM | 1802 | 139 |
| 2:30 PM | 2706 | 220 |
| 2:30 PM | 1801 | 204 |
| 11:00 AM | 0914 | 46 |
| 2:36 PM | 1514 | 125 |
| 2:15 PM | 3909 | 158 |
| 2:37 PM | 4616 | 153 |
| 1:50 PM | 3002 | 131 |
| 7:05 AM | 2622 | 6 |
| 2:47 PM | 2133 | 268 |
| 8:02 AM | 0815 | 48 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 12:35 PM | 3634 | 92 |
| 7:40 AM | 3602 | 16 |
| 2:59 PM | 0532 | 215 |
| 2:59 PM | 0517 | 210 |
| 9:30 AM | 1508 | 100 |
| 2:00 PM | 0813 | 128 |
| 3:10 PM | 0537 | 135 |
| 3:10 PM | 0501 | 140 |
| 3:11 PM | 0505 | 173 |
| 2:00 PM | 2314 | 177 |
| 3:11 PM | 0505 | 173 |
| 2:50 PM | 4617 | 154 |
| 10:00 AM | 0537 | 50 |
| 3:20 PM | 6008 | 102 |
| 10:10 AM | 4623 | 72 |
| 3:20 PM | 6012 | 143 |
| 8:00 AM | 3636 | 75 |
| 3:21 PM | 6023 | 141 |
| 8:15 AM | 6324 | 27 |
| 3:22 PM | 6002 | 164 |
| 3:22 PM | 1509 | 154 |
| 3:23 PM | 6001 | 98 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions